@Article{GangSaNordBevi:1996:PrSeSu,
author = "Gang, Li Wei and Sa, Leonardo Deane Abreu and Nordemann, Daniel
Jean Roger and Bevilaqua, Rute Maria",
title = "Predictions of Sea Surface Temperature in Tropical Ocean using
neural networks",
journal = "Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society",
year = "1996",
volume = "68",
number = "1",
pages = "23--33",
keywords = "METEOROLOGIA, REDES NEURAIS, SUPERFICIE DO MAR, TEMPERATURA.",
abstract = "A review of researches on the relationship between the tropical
ocean sea surface temperatures (SST)and rainfall anomalies in
Northeast Brazil was introduced. In this work, two neural network
models are implemented to reconstruct and predict the time series
of the SST in two regions: the tropical Atlantic ocean (Wright
index, from 1854 to 1985) and the tropical Pacific ocean (regions
Nino 1-2: 0 N-10 S, 270 E-280 E and Nino4: 5 N-5 S, 160 E-150 E,
from 1950 to 1995). The selected neural networks include
Backpropagation Neural Network (BNN) and Time Delay Neural Network
(TDNN). Both were implemented in the neural network stimulator
SNNS. For the Wright index, the trained Backpropagation Neural
Network successfully predicted the index of the following four
months with the relative errors from 1.40 to 3.34. For SST in Nino
1-2 and Nino4 regions, the Time Delay Neural Network was used for
reconstruction and prediction. Comparing with the next six month
observations and predictions, all of them are located within the
predicted error bars. These results show that neural network
methods may be used, within certain limits, for prediction and
evaluation of predictability of time series measured from
phenomena influenced by complex climatic and geophysical
processes, like SST.",
issn = "0003-0007",
label = "7907",
targetfile = "1996_gang.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "05 maio 2024"
}